Will young Africa survive the impact of ageing Europe? Analysis of the uncertainty

Lwechungura C Kamuzora, University of Dar es Salaam

Africa’s young age structure cum endogenous momentum effecting foreseeable future population growth, simply viewed, is a historically unique global asset, because of emigration meeting acute labour shortages threatening economic, consequently socio-political stagnation, from ageing elsewhere. Remittances, coveted for development, are however not commensurate with the damage: brain drain of scarce human resources, worst, passing of knowledge to younger generations. Sources: the United Nations’ 2004 ‘…Population Prospects…’, and literature survey, show heightening age structure divide, consequently inevitability of immigration; dreaded, but of much benefit to receiving countries: definitely skilled labour, also all types, as governments and business communities reveal; and facts on the ground: massive drain, annually, of thousands of experts alone. Ironically Africa pays hugely for questionable-quality expatriates. Counter measures are hardly effective: African political oligarchies’ ignorance, demonstrated by disregard, low pay to their experts, these consequently degenerating into ‘beggars’ _contrast is their luring in more developed India, China_ augurs worst-ever underdevelopment.

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Presented in Poster Session 4